Chapter 130 Shen Fei's Crazy Gambling, Shorting Eagle Sauce! (2, Ask For Automatic Subscription
Chapter 130 Shen Fei's Crazy Gambling, Shorting Eagle Sauce! (2, Ask For Automatic Subscription
Deep down, Shen Fei is a timid and cautious person.
It is said that the higher you stand, the farther you can see.
But there is a prerequisite for this, that is, you must first have that ability.
He knew very well that with his own capital, if he really went against those Wall Street bankers and became an envoy of justice, he would be crushed every minute.
not to mention.
The life and death of Americans is none of your business?
Even if the people of the United States become poor, it will not affect their popularity in China.
so.
Shen Fei really doesn't have any sentimental thoughts about the financial tsunami in the United States.
In his view, how to maximize his own interests is the most important thing.
"Is it bankrupt in September?"
Shen Fei muttered to himself, but he was thinking in his heart, in this case, there is not much time left for himself.
Now it is almost May, and it takes more than four months to prepare. What I have to do is to learn from the hero of "The Big Short" "short the U.S. stock market.
Sitting there, Shen Fei began to think silently.
After an unknown amount of time, Shen Fei slowly raised his head, with a cold light in his eyes.
"Try it."
Shen Fei thought for a while and said to himself.
When the male protagonist of "The Big Short" was shorting the U.S. real estate market, he found Goldman Sachs Bank on Wall Street and signed a gambling agreement, also known as a "credit default swap agreement."
The content is very simple: if the housing price remains strong, he will have to pay the bank a monthly insurance premium of US$10 million; if the housing price collapses, Goldman Sachs will pay him hundreds of millions of US dollars in one go.
This is a desperate gamble, win the young model in the clubhouse, lose to go to work in the sea!
and. He signed not just one bank, but several banks.
Deutsche Bank and the National Bank of the United States have signed this "gambling agreement" with him, and the insurance amount alone is 750 million US dollars.
Although Shen Fei didn't have such outrageous courage.
But he felt that he could try it.
then.
Shen Fei called Lin Yuan.
"Wei, there is something..."
Shen Fei told Lin Yuan his own analysis.
"What do you want to do?"
After hearing Shen Fei's words, Lin Yuan's first reaction to 02 was that this guy wanted to do something, and he said helplessly: "Don't tell me, you want to short Yingjiang's stock market."
"why not?"
Shen Fei laughed: "I think you can try it."
"The subprime mortgage crisis has broken out, and the money we earned before is already quite a lot, and now if we invest normally, the rate of return is not low.
Lin Yuan said earnestly to Shen Fei: "If you really follow what you said, you are gambling.
This is the truth.
From Lin Yuan's point of view, Shen Fei's behavior was like gambling.
"Haha, I'm flying to the United States for a few days, let's meet Gu.
Shen Fei thought for a while and said to Lin Yuan.
Lin Yuan was stunned and speechless, while Shen Fei had already hung up the phone.
no sooner said than done.
Shen Fei really bought a plane ticket and asked Shen Jun to accompany him to the United States.
Originally, she planned to call Lin Xue, but she wanted to investigate the follow-up of the Three Julus, so she didn't follow Shen Fei.
When Shen Fei arrived in San Francisco, Lin Yuan had already brought Shen Juan to greet him at the airport.
"Haha, how about it, isn't it very spacious?"
Sitting in the extended Lincoln, Lin Yuan raised his glass and said to Shen Fei with a smile, "Let's go to Silicon Valley later, and I'll buy you a villa there."
"Go to Silicon Valley."
Shen Fei said angrily: "What about the information I asked you to investigate for me?"
"It's already ready."
Lin Yuan said helplessly: "But do you really plan to short US stocks? I think it has stabilized now, and the impact of the subprime mortgage crisis last year has basically been eliminated.
"It's not that easy."
Shen Fei shook his head when he heard the words, and said calmly: "The subprime mortgage crisis is just the beginning."
Hearing what he said, Lin Yuan and Shen Juan looked at each other with disdain.
obviously.
They don't quite believe Shen Fei's words.
After all, the two of them are in the United States, and they feel it more clearly than Shen Fei guessed.
From the perspective of Lin Yuan and Shen Juan, although the impact of the US subprime mortgage crisis is not small, it only has a great impact on the real estate industry. The bailout behavior of financial institutions has now shaken off its influence and stabilized.
A guess like Shen Fei's is simply impossible.
Unless the U.S. stock market crashes completely!
In other words, the subprime mortgage crisis broke out in full swing!
"Xiao Fei, are you really going to short US stocks?"
Shen Juan asked Shen Fei worriedly.
After all, she grew up watching Shen Fei, and she treated Shen Fei as her own younger brother. Seeing that he was going to take risks, Shen Juan was very worried.
"Um."
Shen Fei nodded: "Let's try it."
He knew very well that this was probably the last chance to pluck the wool of the American people. After this incident, basically there would not be such a few times again.
Therefore, I have to grasp it no matter what.
"Well then. 27
Shen Juan nodded, and said to Shen Fei: "I still have some money here..."
"No, really no need."
Shen Fei laughed when he heard this.
He knew what Shen Juan meant, it was just that he was afraid that he didn't have enough money, but Shen Fei wasn't crazy enough to gamble with his wealth.
Although full of confidence, Shen Fei understands better not to put all eggs in one basket.
so.
He also left room.
"I'm only going to put in a billion dollars."
Shen Fei said calmly: "I made 1.4 billion US dollars before, and invested a lot of them back and forth. I will make up the rest with my own money."
There was a pause.
He looked at Lin Yuan: "I won't take you this time, you guys don't have confidence in me.
"Tch, you asked me to participate and I won't participate."
Lin Yuan waved his hand: "As long as you know what's in your mind, I keep all the money anyway. Whenever you need it, just use it."
He has his own considerations. After all, Shen Fei's behavior this time is really too risky. If he loses money, it is very likely that he will lose everything.
But Shen Fei still has such a big business in China, Lin Yuan felt that keeping his hundreds of millions of dollars would still be of some help to Shen Fei.
and.
Shen Fei didn't even intend to take him with him, which meant that he didn't have any confidence.
This discovery made Lin Yuan even more worried about Shen Fei.
Shen Fei smiled and didn't explain anything.
Many things, in fact, the more you say, the easier it is to be misunderstood.
The reason why he didn't take Lin Yuan with him was very simple, he didn't want Lin Yuan to be involved too deeply.
There is a difference between making money with these people and becoming a cash machine for these people.
It's the same even if Lin Yuan is his future uncle.
In the next half month.
Shen Fei keeps meeting and negotiating with bankers in the United States.
He even fought with the bosses of these consortiums.
finally.
Shen Fei signed a credit guarantee contract just like the hero of "The Big Short".
Starting from June, if the US stock market does not fall, Shen Fei will give Goldman Sachs 10 million US dollars every month. But if the stock market falls, Goldman Sachs will pay Shen Fei $100 million.
Shen Fei signed five such contracts.
He originally planned to invest one billion dollars in it, but unfortunately, there were only five banks willing to bet against him.
Moreover, the term of each family is only one year.
in other words.
If Shen Fei fails, within one year, he will have to pay a full 600 million U.S. dollars.
But if he wins, he will earn six billion dollars.
This number is simply unimaginable.
Everyone thought this young man from the East was crazy.
You know, at the beginning of 2007, interest rates in the United States rose, housing prices peaked, mortgage overdue repayments were frequent, and the credit market began to collapse from the bottom, while the CDO market controlled by Wall Street investment banks was still stubbornly resisting until June 2007. He began to lower his noble head and persisted for half a year.
The subprime loans defaulted, and the bonds and CDOs built on them began to depreciate sharply. All the long CDS buyers finally realized that disaster was imminent, and the short sellers proved themselves correct with reality.
Although the 100% full compensation has not been fulfilled, no one can guarantee that when the DCO returns to zero, the players on the table will still be there, and whether they will be able to fulfill the online gambling contract.
The short sellers sold their short bets back to the investment bank that held the CDS at 30% of the value of the CDO. The bet cost of 2% of the insurance was once, and they got several times the return.
There was a rookie hedge fund manager who started with $110,000, and was called a garage fund by Wall Street. When he shorted CDS, his assets were $30 million, and when the subprime mortgage ended, he was worth $130 million.
And now.
Another lunatic appears!
To be honest, the news media at home and abroad are not so well-developed nowadays, otherwise someone would have exposed the news long ago.
If this is put in ten years later, Shen Fei will be called the number one prodigal son in history in no time.
Even so, many people in the entire Wall Street financial circle said that this Chinese man must be crazy. He really thought that he had made some money in the subprime mortgage crisis before and became a financial genius?
Some people have even carefully calculated that if this young man continues to play like this, he will lose all the money he has earned in a short time.
But Shen Fei didn't care. After signing contracts with the five banks, he specially hired a team of lawyers to conduct justice. The two most famous law firms in the United States were invited.
He even brought in an accountant from PricewaterhouseCoopers to notarize the whole cooperation.
This series of operations made both Lin Yuan and Shen Juan dizzy.
"No, big brother, can you be my big brother?"
Seeing Shen Fei doing this, Lin Yuan was speechless. Finally, one day he dragged Shen Juan to find Shen Fei, and said to him: "Although you have 400 million US dollars left, I am very happy, but if you do this, don't be afraid." What's wrong? Those Americans don't have any integrity."
"Do not worry."
Shen Fei laughed: "When the market crashes, it is not these banking syndicates who can stop it.
"What's the meaning?"
Lin Yuan frowned: "You mean, the whole market will collapse?"
"Um."
Shen Fei nodded: "Before I underestimated the impact of the subprime mortgage crisis on the United States. During the time I came here, I read some information. Although the real estate market is stable now, it will not continue to collapse too seriously. But in fact , Those investment companies have long been strong outsiders, believe me, once a company collapses, it will form a chain reaction like dominoes."
He finally remembered why the valuation of face twitter plummeted at the beginning of 2009.
The reason is very simple, because at that time the overall environment of the United States
All fell into a state of collapse.
The capitalists on Wall Street are already about to jump off the building, so how can they have time to invest in the Internet.
This sounds a bit outrageous, but it is true.
so.
What Shen Fei has to do now is to take a share of the whole feast.
"According to what you said, didn't Goldman Sachs realize the problem?"
Lin Yuan frowned: "It's impossible for you to see the problem, they can't see it."
"Hehe, of course they can see it, but what does the problem have to do with them?"
Shen Fei said calmly: "Even if the financial market in the United States collapses, the common people will pay the bill at that time, and the Federal Reserve will provide them with funds to these banks and financial institutions to stabilize the market. At that time, what will be lost is only the wealth of ordinary people. Financial institutions and capitalists will not lose money, and they can even make short profits!"
What Shen Fei said made Lin Yuan and Shen Juan dumbfounded.
They really never expected that such a thing would exist.
But if you think about it carefully, this is in line with Ying Jiang's consistent behavior.
After all, in this country, rich people are the most important.
"I still feel a little risky."
Lin Yuan thought for a while, and said helplessly: "You are basically gambling by doing this."
"Life is all about gambling."
Shen Fei smiled and said to him: "Let's go, take me to Silicon Valley, meet Zuckerberg, and check Twitter by the way, I'm curious, what is the difference between these two companies. "
Seeing his relaxed appearance, 917 felt helpless on Lin Yuan's face.
This guy doesn't look like someone who just bet 600 million dollars, as if the money has nothing to do with him, it's unimaginable.
Perhaps this is where I am different from him.
Lin Yuan can now feel more and more that Shen Fei has an indescribable temperament, which is unparalleled self-confidence. He firmly believes that every decision he makes is correct, and he firmly believes that even if he fails, he can make a comeback.
This kind of confidence is precisely what Lin Yuan does not possess.
In the next few days, accompanied by Lin Yuan, Shen Fei actually went to Silicon Valley to visit the headquarters of Facebook and Twitter.
I met Zuckerberg on face, and the two had an in-depth exchange.
Zuckerberg is very interested in this investor who, against all odds, also invested in dace.
"Shen, I'm curious why you insist on investing in face"
Zuckerberg asked Shen Fei puzzled.
He was speaking from his heart.
Because for a long time, Zuckerberg did not understand that in fact, Wanli Investment had a better choice, but he chose himself. Could it be that Shen Fei has confidence in himself?
"It's nothing, I think the development of social media is just the trend of Internet development in the future.
Shen Fei said lightly: "Not only Facebook, I also invested in Twitter, and I also invested in several Internet companies in social media in China.
"ah?"
Zuckerberg, who thought that Shen Fei would praise him, was dumbfounded. He stared at Shen Fei dumbfounded, not understanding what he meant.
Little did he know, Shen Fei was about to laugh so hard that his stomach hurt at this moment.
It is a joy to pretend to be true in front of Zuckerberg.
This guy was a very tossing person in later generations, and later he had a real-life fighting competition with Musk.
Of course, some people say that he is an alien, a robot.
But Shen Fei feels that Zuckerberg is really down at this moment.
"Haha, Mr. Zuckerberg, you have to understand that I am a businessman who invests. No matter what the project is, as long as I think there is a chance to help me make money, I will invest."
Shen Fei looked at Mark Zuckerberg and said meaningfully: "Of course, if I feel that this project may not make money, I will naturally withdraw and leave. "I hope you can understand."
Hearing Shen Fei's words, Zuckerberg's eyes lit up.
It seems that this guy has no idea about his company.
That's fine, if Wanli Investment is just an investment company, it is actually a good partner, and Zuckerberg knows this better than anyone else.
In fact, he was willing to meet with this uproarious Eastern investor who was recently rumored on Wall Street today, just to test whether Wanli Investment has any ideas about Face.
Judging from Shen Fei's current attitude, Zuckerberg feels that he can temporarily rest assured.
This is a pure businessman!
PS: Ask for automatic subscription, ask for flowers, ask for monthly pass, ask for evaluation ticket, ask for reward, ask for various data support! Please just click the automatic subscription.
mchenry-crisis.org